Find My Team >>

Log in to High School OT with one click using your favorite social network:
OR
Log in using your High School OT account:



Wrong email/password combination.

Forgot password?

Register with High School OT using your favorite social network:
OR
Register for a High School OT account using our web form.
Log In
Register

Nick Stevens

With four weeks left, bubbles starting to burst

Published: 2013-10-16 13:27:00
Updated: 2013-10-18 15:15:38


Oct 18, 2013

Football: Sanderson vs. Leesville Road (Oct. 11, 2013)

Jeriko Styles (22) with the ball for Sanderson. Friday night football at Leesville Rd High School as they host Sanderson. Homecoming ended well as Leesville defeats Sanderson by 17 to 28. Photo by CHRIS BAIRD

Believe it or not, there are only four weeks left in the high school football season, and as time winds down, the pressure heats up for area teams who sit on the playoff bubble. More Info     Friday Night Scores graphic 400x300 Football scores, schedule

Already some teams are watching as they slide off the wrong side of the bubble. Some teams have already clinched playoff berths, but the playoff bubble in the East this season – at least at the 4-A level – appears to be very large.

There is a lot to be sorted out in the last four weeks of the regular season, but this week we'll take a first look at the playoff bubble for area 4-A conferences.

Here's the disclaimer ... These bubbles can change week to week based on game results. So just because a team is considered "in" at the moment, upsets could move them to the bubble over the next few weeks. The same can be said for teams who are considered "out" today.

Cap 8

The bubble isn't all that big in the Cap 8. Right now we can project that Heritage, Leesville Road, Wake Forest, and Wakefield are all in. Three of those teams will likely receive the three automatic spots, while the other will get an at-large bid.

Millbrook (5-2, 2-1) is likely in, but given the large playoff bubble and teams around the five-win mark, two conference wins is not enough to consider the Wildcats a lock at the moment. Millbrook has a tough schedule left too – home against Wakefield and Leesville Road, and road games against Heritage and Sanderson. I don't think Millbrook will go oh-for in the last four weeks, but they do need to get another win to be considered a lock.

Sanderson (3-4, 1-2) is sitting more squarely on the bubble. While it's possible Sanderson gets in with one more win, the Spartans likely need at least two more wins to get a berth on Seeding Saturday, and even that could leave them on the bubble. Sanderson has three home games left against Broughton, Enloe and Millbrook, and a road game at Wake Forest.

Circle that Millbrook-Sanderson game on Nov. 8. That could be a biggie when it comes to playoff implications.

Broughton and Enloe, both winless, are out of the playoff picture.

Greater Neuse River

The bubble in the Greater Neuse is bigger than the one in the Cap 8. Let's start with teams that have clinched a playoff berth already – Knightdale and Garner are the only two teams who meet that criteria at the moment.

Clayton (5-3, 1-2) is probably the bubble team in the best shape for an at-large bid. One more win will lock Clayton into a playoff spot. The Comets have two home games left against East Wake and Southeast Raleigh, and they go on the road to West Johnston as well.  It is possible Clayton could even get in without another win, but it would be close.

Southeast Raleigh (3-3, 2-0) could also qualify for an at-large bid, but right now they're in good shape for the last automatic bid from the conference. Southeast Raleigh will need to get two more conference wins to ensure an at-large bid, but the final automatic bid could come down to the season finale at Clayton.

East Wake (2-5, 1-1) is slipping off the bubble, and the Warriors need to collect three wins in the final four games to clinch a spot. East Wake has games left at Clayton and Knightdale, and also at home against West Johnston and Harnett Central.

West Johnston (2-5, 0-2) has an uphill battle, but they're technically still on the bubble – barely. The Wildcats need to win three more games. They have three away games left at East Wake, Southeast Raleigh and Harnett Central, and one home game against Clayton.

Harnett Central (1-6, 0-3) is out of the playoffs.

Mid-South

Things are also interesting in the Mid-South Conference. Jack Britt, Pine Forest and South View will be in the state playoffs. Cape Fear (5-2, 2-0) is in good shape, and they will likely make the cut, but one more win would solidify that. The Colts have a tough schedule left though with home games against Pine Forest and Jack Britt and road games at E.E. Smith and South View.

E.E. Smith (4-3, 0-2) is another team that is looking for wins. The Golden Bulls need at least one more win, and possibly two more to ensure a berth, because they have no conference wins at this point. With games against South View, Cape Fear, Overhills and Seventy-First left, E.E. Smith does have opportunities to lock themselves in.

Seventy-First (4-4, 0-3) is in a similar situation to E.E. Smith, but the Falcons have a more urgent need for wins because they only have three games left – at Overhills, home against Pine Forest, and at E.E. Smith.

The Seventy-First vs. E.E. Smith game will be a very important game for playoff purposes, more than likely.

Barring a major run by Overhills (2-5, 0-2) in the final four weeks, the Jaguars appear to be out of the playoffs at this time. Overhills has games left against Seventy-First, Pine Forest, E.E. Smith and Jack Britt.

PAC 6

This conference is tough to judge at the moment, mostly because no one has separated themselves aside from Hillside and Riverside. The Hornets and Pirates should be locks for playoff berths at this point.

After that, who knows? Literally, the rest of the conference is sitting on the bubble.

Northern Durham (1-6, 1-0), East Chapel Hill (1-6, 0-1) and Jordan (1-6, 0-1) are all in the same boat. Person (2-5, 0-1) has one more non-conference win than the rest, but hasn't won a conference game yet.

One of these teams has to receive the last automatic bid from the conference. After that, it is entirely possible that no other team from the PAC 6 makes the state playoffs.

Southeastern

Things in the Southeastern Conference aren't all that confusing at this time. Pinecrest, Richmond County and Scotland County are in. The only bubble team at this time is Purnell Swett (2-5, 0-1), who has games against Richmond, Pinecrest, Hoke County and Lumberton left.

Wins against Hoke County and Lumberton could be enough to put Purnell Swett in, depending on how many teams have more than four wins in other parts of the state, but it is a tough road to the state playoffs for Purnell Swett.

Hoke County and Lumberton are out of the playoffs right now.

Southwestern Wake Athletic

This is another conference that is very much up in the air with just four weeks to play.

Right now we can project that Middle Creek and Panther Creek are in, although if the Catamounts were to lose the rest of their games (Fuquay-Varina, Apex, Holly Springs, Green Hope), they could slide back onto the bubble.

Holly Springs (4-3, 3-0) is technically on the bubble, but they're on the right side of the bubble at the moment. One more win would ensure a berth for Holly Springs, and they have games left with Middle Creek, Green Hope, Panther Creek and Apex.

Athens Drive (5-4, 2-2) is also on the bubble, but the Jags only have three games left – at Middle Creek and home against Fuquay-Varina and Cary. One more win would most likely put Athens Drive in the playoffs with fives wins and three conference wins.

Fuquay-Varina (4-3, 1-2) will have a shot at a playoff berth as well. The Bengals may need two more wins (again, depending on what happens with the rest of the state) to clinch a berth, although one more could be enough. Fuquay-Varina has games at home against Panther Creek and Cary, and games on the road at Athens Drive and Middle Creek.

One more four-win team in the SWAC is also on the bubble – Green Hope (4-4, 1-3). One more win could be enough for the Falcons, but only two conference wins could leave Green Hope sitting square on the bubble. The Falcons only have three games left, a home game against Holly Springs and two road games against Apex and Panther Creek. If Green Hope can win two of those three, they would lock themselves in, but it is possible the Falcons could get in with just one more victory.

The bubble doesn't stop there though. Apex (2-5, 1-2) is technically on the bubble as well, but they have an uphill battle. The Cougars need three more wins, and they have games left at Cary and at Panther Creek, and home games against Green Hope and Holly Springs.

The bubble is big in the SWAC, but Cary (2-5, 0-3) is not on it. Right now the Imps are on the outside looking in.

Follow Nick Stevens on Twitter @NickStevensHSOT

Back to Nick Stevens
COMMENTS

0 Comments



This blog post is closed for comments.

Blogs
*
More HSOT Today
*
More On The Trail
HighSchoolOT Forums
More HighSchoolOT Forums
  1. ZachMayoHSOT: VB FINAL: Green Hope 3, Apex 0. Falcons take Game 3, 26-24. #hsotscores
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 8:18 PM
  2. ZachMayoHSOT: Every ball @haleybid19 touches looks like it's been shot from a cannon. #analysis
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 7:57 PM
  3. ZachMayoHSOT: VB: Green Hope takes a very close Game 2 over Apex, 27-25. Falcons now lead 2-0. #hsotscores
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 7:46 PM
  4. ZachMayoHSOT: RT @WCPSS: Catamount family, we're thinking about you tonight.
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 7:42 PM
  5. ZachMayoHSOT: VB: Green Hope takes Game 1 over Apex, 25-11. Falcons looked dominant in that one. #hsotscores
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 7:16 PM
  6. HighSchoolOT: Southern Durham ranked No. 1 in statewide AP Poll http://t.co/MTvEyhVFbW
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 6:07 PM
  7. HighSchoolOT: RT @ZachMayoHSOT: I'm covering volleyball at Green Hope tonight. @GHFALCONS hosting @apexvball8. Story tonight on #HSOT
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 5:44 PM
  8. ZachMayoHSOT: I'm covering volleyball at Green Hope tonight. @GHFALCONS hosting @apexvball8. Story tonight on #HSOT http://t.co/WFt0C9cGuW
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 5:29 PM
  9. HighSchoolOT: ALERT: Southern Durham ranked No. 1 in new AP Poll http://t.co/WpmVM6hIdZ
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 5:09 PM
  10. JamesAlverson: RT @620thebuzz: Join us Saturday @ the NCSU game beginning @ 3pm where you can take your official game day photo @ the Butcher's Market Fan…
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 3:56 PM
  11. JamesAlverson: RT @BlueDevilLair: The script Duke is back! RT @DukeFBEquipment: @Duke_FB It has begun! Throwback helmets for Tulane! #dukegang
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 2:25 PM
  12. JamesAlverson: More people in the football world and in the media should take the stance Dabo did with his comments. Not just a football issue. Societal
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 2:06 PM
  13. JamesAlverson: RT @Aaron_Brenner: Dabo Swinney's entire comments on domestic violence, Part II http://t.co/ulyF60eLzp
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 2:05 PM
  14. JamesAlverson: RT @Aaron_Brenner: Dabo Swinney's entire comments on domestic violence, Part I http://t.co/pDN3aONnej
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 2:04 PM
  15. JamesAlverson: RT @_Mav_Rick: Hahahaha #goacc RT @SBNationCFB: Whoever's doing this for Wake Forest should probably stop. http://t.co/kNvt5Aivpt
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 2:02 PM
  16. HighSchoolOT: ICYMI: Tom Suiter's Fabulous 15 Poll came out today. Southern moves to 2nd behind Wake Forest: http://t.co/RNSu0Z6IUp #HSOT
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 1:16 PM
  17. HighSchoolOT: RT @NickStevensHSOT: Also... We should get our hands on the #HSOTInvite brackets today. You'll see them pretty soon on @HighSchoolOT.
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 1:11 PM
  18. NickStevensHSOT: Also... We should get our hands on the #HSOTInvite brackets today. You'll see them pretty soon on @HighSchoolOT.
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 1:11 PM
  19. NickStevensHSOT: Busy afternoon on tap for me today. #HSOT Polls come out soon, #HSOTInvite meeting later, and AP Poll this evening.
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 1:09 PM
  20. HighSchoolOT: Southern Durham moves into second place in Fabulous 15 http://t.co/k4wfXP1O8v
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 12:24 PM
  21. HighSchoolOT: ALERT: Southern Durham moves to second place in Tom Suiter's Fabulous 15 Poll http://t.co/fYW1yI88TZ
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 12:01 PM
  22. ZachMayoHSOT: RT @BCHanks: My four No. 1s for my AP/NCPreps.com prep football polls: 4A: Matthews Butler 3A: Southern Durham 2A: Southwest Onslow 1A: Wal…
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 11:40 AM
  23. Chris__Edwards: RT @Duke_BASE: Good Morning! 3 days until the first @Duke_BASE practice of the year! #maketodaycount
      — Tuesday, September 16, 2014 9:18 AM
  24. HighSchoolOT: RT @NickStevensHSOT: The field for the #HSOTInvite this year won't disappoint. A lot of great talent. Dec. 26, 27, 29, 30 at Broughton HS! …
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 7:55 PM
  25. NickStevensHSOT: The field for the #HSOTInvite this year won't disappoint. A lot of great talent. Dec. 26, 27, 29, 30 at Broughton HS! #HSOT
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 7:54 PM
  26. HighSchoolOT: RT @NickStevensHSOT: The field for the 2014 #HSOTInvite is set! We'll be revealing it in the not-so-distant future… #HSOT #WRAL
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 7:51 PM
  27. NickStevensHSOT: The field for the 2014 #HSOTInvite is set! We'll be revealing it in the not-so-distant future… #HSOT #WRAL
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 7:51 PM
  28. HighSchoolOT: RT @Chris__Edwards: Need you to tell me why I should put your squad in my @HighSchoolOT poll this week.
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 7:18 PM
  29. Chris__Edwards: Need you to tell me why I should put your squad in my @HighSchoolOT poll this week.
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 7:02 PM
  30. ZachMayoHSOT: In mine. RT @Aaron_F3: Hopefully cleveland can get back in top 15 #hsot
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 6:42 PM
  31. HighSchoolOT: RT @NickStevensHSOT: Wake Forest's Josh Banks (Middle Ck) named ACC Defensive Lineman of the Week. 7 tkls, 1 sk, 2 TFL, and 1 INT for a 70 …
      — Monday, September 15, 2014 12:38 PM
  32. HighSchoolOT: Statement week in Triangle for a few teams http://t.co/oMsMLwb1o4
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 6:26 PM
  33. HighSchoolOT: Did you miss #FootballFriday on @WRAL last night? Watch the full show here: http://t.co/39OGipTDG3 #HSOT #WRAL
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:18 AM
  34. HighSchoolOT: 40 photos from Clayton's 38-21 win over Smithfield-Selma: http://t.co/1HYjC4wKrQ #HSOT http://t.co/J9XtdKCnFR
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:13 AM
  35. HighSchoolOT: 34 photos from Northwood's 56-14 win over Carrboro: http://t.co/E8de14Pf1o #HSOT http://t.co/0fNDDvfCED
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:10 AM
  36. HighSchoolOT: 36 photos from Orange's 54-14 win over Graham: http://t.co/mZoXxICPXn #HSOT http://t.co/wnefGkgOj4
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:08 AM
  37. HighSchoolOT: 27 photos from Millbrook's 46-7 win over Northern Durham: http://t.co/06uBVoWW8C #HSOT http://t.co/m0vQIZb4YB
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:07 AM
  38. HighSchoolOT: 47 photos from Panther Creek's 41-0 shutout of Jordan: http://t.co/gtPBgUQevo #HSOT http://t.co/WCltd10FE3
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:04 AM
  39. HighSchoolOT: 50 photos from Garner's 48-0 win over Cary: http://t.co/Pvhs70JUFS #HSOT http://t.co/0cNKp73jjS
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:02 AM
  40. HighSchoolOT: 61 photos from Corinth Holders' big win over Bunn, 61-27: http://t.co/1XtfizWHGP #HSOT http://t.co/T58022Z1iK
      — Saturday, September 13, 2014 10:00 AM